Applied Statistical Decision Theory
Argumentation and Critical Decision Making
The first and most thoroughly developed audience-oriented argumentation text, Argumentation and Critical Decision Making , presents argumentation as a cooperative, communicative process. The text examines the general principles of argument in a rigorous yet readable manner and then applies those principles to different spheres of life law, science, religion, business, and politics to explore how conventions of argument change when applied to these real-world arenas. Focusing on the dynamics of decision making, and using real-life examples to illustrate principles, this book aims to help readers develop practical argumentation skills in their daily lives. New to This Edition The sixth edition has a new organization, with the chapters arranged in three sections: Principles, Tools, and Applications. Chapters 1 through 3 have been restructured and shortened, making them a more fluid and understandable introduction to argumentation. An increased emphasis on decision making rather than debating keeps the text away from the highly aggressive, adversarial tone of some other texts. Chapter 3 now includes a discussion of post-modern and feminist approaches to argumentation and shows that argumentation is valuable not only to those who are aggressive but also to everyone else.
Computer-Supported Decision Making: Meeting the Decisions Demands of Modern Organizations
There is a tide of competitiveness rising across the sea of business. The issues being faced by the business commanders of today are rapidly becoming more complex. Veritable waves of information are crashing down on organizational decision makers. While the environment is becoming more complex, it is getting tougher to discern the relevant information from among the flood of available data. The demand for accurate, rapid decision making is impelling today's decision makers to wonder about the existence of some sort of job-preserving assistance. These decision makers are often awash in political controversy as well as technical, economic, social, and legal considerations. Relief from this sea of troubles may come from a behaviorally-responsive decision support system (DSS) in the form of computer assistance that considers the decision maker's cognitive and emotional needs. This book describes a DSS that will meet the needs of modern organization decision makers.
Creative Problem Solving for Managers
This book provides an essential introduction to the ideas and skills of creative problem solving. It shows how and why people are blocked in their thinking, how this impairs the creative problem solving process and how creative problem solving techniques can help overcome these difficulties. Theories of creative thinking are critically examined and used to justify the variety of techniques which can be used to find insights into difficult management problems. Using case studies and case histories, together with extensive diagrams, examples and thought-provoking questions, this textbook provides the most up-to-date and extensive approach to this important topic.
Decision Making: An Integrated Approach
This book provides an integrated approach to decision-making as a subject, with particular emphasis on how decisions are made, and reviews the techniques that help managers arrive at their decisions. Students are guided through the various perspectives, processes and techniques relevant to management decision making, thus enabling them to evaluate and choose the preferred option from a set of behavioural and technical decision-making tools.
Decisions, Decisions: The Art of Effective Decision Making
You're tempted to accept a promising job offer in another city, but moving would entail considerable sacrifice on the part of your family. What should you do?
Your elderly mother can no longer take care of herself but she doesn't get along with your spouse and dreads the prospect of moving into a nursing home. What is the solution?
Whether you're faced with decisions momentous or trivial, how you go about resolving everyday dilemmas will definitely affect your degree of satisfaction in life. In this engrossing and entertaining guide, David Welch, who has studied the decision-making process at the highest levels, shows how both the science and the art of decision making are essential to us all. Welch lays out nine steps to effective decision making and then shows us how to apply these steps to real-world situations. You'll learn how to assess your own strengths and weaknesses because self-knowledge is critical for making the right decisions.
This enjoyable, clearly written guide will enable decision makers to find the most practical solution for dilemmas both big and small.
Essential Managers: Making Decisions
Even Hamlet, that famous equivocator, might not have been so stymied by the question "To be or not to be?" if he'd had this snappy little 72-pager on hand to help him make up his mind. Here, you'll find quick-and-dirty advice on the crucial three phases of making a tough decision, both on and off the job: identifying your unique decision-making style, and weighing it against your organizational culture; reaching a decision by identifying the key issues and people to involve, generating ideas and assessing their validity, gathering information and using models, minimizing risk and employing fail-safe strategies, and getting approval and support for your final decision; and implementing your decision, from communicating it to others and overcoming objects to it to monitoring its progress and building on it over time. On every page here, boxed tips, mini case studies, handy checklists, and easy-to-follow flow charts help you through the process--including how to handle other people's decisions and assess your own decision-making ability. Granted, if you're looking for very specific or in-depth guidance, you might find this book too cursory and general in its approach. But, if you're looking for a thumbnail guide to the basics, it'll do just fine.
It's worth mentioning that the book is part of the "Essential Managers" series by reference publisher Dorling-Kindersley--a series comprising 20 itty-bitty books on business and career topics that range from communication, leadership, and decision-making to the management of time, budgets, change, meetings, people, projects, and teams. Combining the talent of the "For Dummies" book series for breaking down a lot of information into bite-sized bits and sidebars with Dorling-Kindersley's signature design style of crisp, classy graphics on a gleaming white backdrop, the books don't represent the cutting edge of business thinking or reflect necessarily any unique individual perspective. Instead, it's as if someone had collated the best general thinking on these 20 topics, and rolled them out into 72 brightly designed and easy-to-read pages--studded along the way with boxed tips, color shots of a multiracial cast of "coworkers" animatedly hashing through the workplace issues of the day, and, on the last few pages of each volume, a self-test of one's skills in the topic at hand. Again, they're not for anyone who's looking for more in-depth or focused help on any of the covered subjects, but they're perfect as a quick general-interest reference; and, let's face it, they're so damn cute, and look so smart in a neat little stack or row, that probably you'll want to buy a whole bunch to give as gifts to your entire staff or department. --Timothy Murphy
Harvard Business Review on Decision Making
The Harvard Business Review Paperback Series is designed to bring today's managers and professionals the fundamental information they need to stay competitive in a fast-moving world. From the preeminent thinkers whose work has defined an entire field to the rising stars who will redefine the way we think about business, here are the leading minds and landmark ideas that have established the Harvard Business Review as required reading for ambitious businesspeople in organizations around the globe. Harvard Business Review on Decision Making will help people at all levels understand the fundamental theories and practices of effective decision making so that they can make better decisions in their personal and professional lives.
Leadership and Decision Making
This text--developed in response to an increasing interest in ethics and a growing number of courses on this topic that are now being offered in educational leadership programs--is designed to fill a gap in instructional materials for teaching the ethics component of the knowledge base that has been established for the profession. Ethical Leadership and Decision Making in Education: Applying Theoretical Perspectives to Complex Dilemmas, Second Edition:
*demonstrates the application of different ethical paradigms (the ethics of justice, care, critique, and the profession) through discussion and analysis of real-life moral dilemmas that educational leaders face in their schools and communities;
*addresses some of the practical, pedagogical, and curricular issues related to the teaching of ethics for educational leaders;
*emphasizes the importance of ethics instruction from a variety of theoretical approaches; and
*provides a process that instructors might follow to develop their own ethics unit or course.
Part I provides an overview of why ethics is so important, especially for today's educational leaders, and presents a multiparadigm approach essential to practitioners as they grapple with ethical dilemmas. Part II deals with the dilemmas themselves. It includes a brief introduction to how the cases were constructed, an illustration of how the multiparadigm approach may be applied to a real dilemma, and ethical dilemmas written by graduate students that represent the kinds of dilemmas faced by practicing administrators in urban, suburban, and rural settings in an era full of complexities and contradictions. Part III focuses on pedagogy and provides teaching notes for the instructor. The authors discuss the importance of self-reflection on the part of both instructors and students, and model how they thought through their own personal and professional ethical codes as well as reflected upon the critical incidents in their lives that shape their teaching and frequently determine what they privileged in class.
Making Better Business Decisions
This book will help you deal with the hundreds of decisions you are faced with every day. It will show you how:
The mind processes information
Biological, physiological, and psychological factors influence thinking
To better prepare yourself to address probable influences on your decisions
To unleash the creative potential in your mind
This book distills what behavioral science has discovered related to how people, especially those in business, make decisions. Making Better Business Decisions will enable decision-makers to:
Recognize and focus on the truly important decisions that require critical thinking
Analyze options more clearly and creatively
Reduce decisional time and effort
Improve judgement quality
Awareness and application of the material contained within will enable us not only to improve our own decisions, but will also provide the means for us to understand how and why others decide as they do.
Applying rational decisional techniques or intuition can most likely solve our everyday routine, repetitive, and minor problems. As decisions become more important and problems become more difficult, the energy required by critical thinking skills and creative problem solving can improve the quality of our thought processes and increase the likelihood of uncovering optimal solutions.
Making Hard Decisions : An Introduction to Decision Analysis
This best-selling and up-to-date survey of decision analysis concepts and techniques is accessible to students with limited mathematical backgrounds. It is designed for advanced undergraduate and MBA-level courses in decision analysis and also for business courses in introductory quantitative methods. (Prerequisites: college algebra; introductory statistics.)
This book provides techniques and skills for managers, facilitators or team members looking for guidance on their changing role in the modern organization. This edition has been updated to provide up-to-date thinking on learning organizations, knowledge transfer and the impact of technology.
Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions
Have you ever hired someone only to regret your decision two months later? Or looked at your financial portfolio and wondered why you bought the stocks you did? In Smart Choices, authors John S. Hammond, Ralph L. Keeney, and Howard Raiffa take the guesswork out of the decision-making process and offer a systematic approach to making the right choice. Most of us have problems making decisions, because we've never learned how. The authors write:
Despite the importance of decision making to our lives, few of us ever receive any training in it. So we are left to learn from experience. But experience is a costly, inefficient teacher that teaches us bad habits along with good ones. Because decision situations vary so markedly, the experience of making one important decision often seems of little use when facing the next.
Smart Choices outlines eight elements involved in making the right decision, from identifying exactly what the decision is and specifying your objectives to considering risk tolerance and looking at how what you decide on today influences what you may decide in the future. The book is full of real-life situations and scenarios that effectively illustrate each element of a good decision. If you think the topic of making the right choice is mundane or a simple matter of common sense, then think again. Smart Choices will relieve you of the regret that so many of us carry because we didn't know how to "think it through." --Harry C. Edwards
Surgical Decision Making
The thoroughly updated New Edition of this best-selling resource uses an algorithmic approach to facilitate the evaluation and management of 162 common surgical problems. Clear algorithms and concise accompanying explanations offer a quick and efficient way to review the key issues and make effective clinical decisions. 34 of the topics in this 5th Edition are either entirely new or have been completely rewritten, to reflect the latest developments in the field.
The 75 Greatest Management Decisions Ever Made and 21 of the Worst
What is the common thread tying together such diverse and seemingly unrelated figures as Mickey Mouse, the Marlboro Man, Julius Caesar, and P. T. Barnum? Find out in THE 75 GREATEST MANAGEMENT DECISIONS EVER MADE, a pithy compendium celebrating pinnacles of decision-making that have shaped management through the ages--and left their indelible impressions on business and society.
Sometimes controversial, sometimes irreverent, but always witty and informative, this book represents managerial genius across all (not just business-related) spectrums. Each entry describes a feat of management brilliance, extracts the invaluable lessons it contains, and explores its ultimate impact.
Readers will learn about the history-making decisions (some of them from highly surprising sources) that gave rise to: the assembly line, the first reliable system of weights and measures, the credit card, the discovery of America, print and television advertising, the Walkman, Microsoft, CNN, the mainframe computer, the PC, the weight-loss industry, market research, mass production, brand management, and more. And, as icing on the cake, as well as for balance, objectivity, or maybe even a few laughs (or moans and groans), THE 75 GREATEST MANAGEMENT DECISIONS EVER MADE also exposes 21 of the worst management decisions ever made.
The Problem Solving Journey: Your Guide for Making Decisions and Getting Results
Reveals the winning strategies of great problem solvers in the business world, showing how anyone can use them. Shows how to navigate the six key dimensions of the problem solving journey, and come out successful on the other side.
An indispensable guide to the adventure of problem solving, with practical insights from the worlds of business, government, science, medicine, law, and the arts.
In an economy where knowledge is power, no one can expect to succeed without the ability to solve problems-to gather information, weigh options, make decisions, and take effective action. Drawing from his practical expertise in information management, Chris Hoenig offers a hands-on guide to the art and science of problem solving-featuring examples of successful problem solvers such as Colin Powell and Lou Gerstner, and leading organizations as diverse as VISA, the Orpheus Chamber Orchestra, and NASA. Using a wide variety of diagnostics, self-assessment tools, and other interactive elements, Hoenig helps you identify your own problem-solving profile and navigate the six dimensions of the problem-solving journey, from "creating the mindset" to "delivering the results." For executives and entrepreneurs, front-line supervisors and project leaders, The Problem Solving Journey will be an indispensable resource.
The Thinking Manager's Toolbox: Effective Processes for Problem Solving and Decision Making
In this indispensable book, a widely experienced business consultant provides a complete set of analytical tools essential to successful trouble-shooting, effective planning, and making better decisions faster, more confidently, and more often. How can you help your company solve a problem in just a few days that's been plaguing managers for three months? How can you bring a room of executives to a consensus on a critical decision that the CEO and his committee have been wrestling with for years? Of course, this is easier said than done.
Indeed, not a week goes by without a major business media story about a company that has fallen on hard times and an executive that has resigned for "personal reasons." The root of the failure is usually ineffective decision-making processes, and ultimately, bad decisions. In The Thinking Manager's Toolbox, veteran consultant and renowned business thinker William J. Altier cogently presents the underpinnings of successful thinking processes and their applications, drawing on practical, real-world experiences. The first section explores the fundamentals of thinking, change, and the critical role that sound thinking processes play in effective problem solving. The second section, your basic toolbox, develops five, in-depth fundamental thinking processes. And a third section, the advanced toolbox, develops more specialized applications for creative problem solving.
Here then is a valuable primer for anyone, whether a middle manager or a CEO, seeking to solve problems and make better decisions more efficiently. The Thinking Manager's Toolbox is an invaluable resource for those seeking to develop the fundamental thinking processes necessary to perform with excellence.
Winning Decisions: Getting It Right the First Time
Making "good, fast, frequent decisions... better than those with whom you compete," say J. Edward Russo and Paul J.H. Schoemaker, is a critical skill in today's business climate. They additionally believe it's a skill that all of us can learn, much like a proper golf swing. In Winning Decisions, they lay out a four-step process that constitutes "a broad, conceptual framework" applicable in virtually any situation where a decision is needed. Russo and Schoemaker, consultants and professors who collaborated on an earlier book about the roadblocks to proper decision making, turn their attention here to making decisions "with the head, not the gut." Their program is divided into four phases fully explained in their own sections: Framing, Gathering Intelligence, Coming to Conclusions, and Learning from Experience. In total, they reveal a disciplined system that will benefit anyone looking to make better decisions in just about any situation. --Howard Rothman
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Decisions in Economics and Finance: A Journal of Applied Mathematics is the official publication of the Association for Mathematics.
Decisions Sciences Journal
The Decision Sciences Journal is a quarterly, professional journal that uses the latest computer technology, mathematical and statistical techniques, and behavioral science. The Decision Sciences Journal is subscribed to by more than 1,000 libraries and read by over 4,000 faculty and students in all functional areas of business, as well as by corporate-related personnel and consultants.
Decision Support Systems Journal
The Decision Support Systems Journal research papers tend to fall into the following six topic departments:
1. DSS Foundations. e.g. DSS principles, concepts, and theories; frameworks, formal languages, and methods for DSS research; tutorials about the nature of DSS; assessments of the DSS field.
2. DSS Development-Functionality. e.g. methods, tools, and techniques for developing the underlying functional aspects of a DSS; solver/model management; data management in DSSs; rule management and AI in DSSs; coordinating a DSS's functionality within its user interface.
3. DSS Development-Interfaces. e.g. methods, tools, and techniques for developing the overt user interface of a DSS; managing linguistic, presentation, and user knowledge in a DSS; DSS help facilities; coordinating a DSS's interface events with its functionality events.
4. DSS Impacts and Evaluation. e.g. DSS economics; DSS measurement; DSS impacts on individual users, multiparticipant users, organizations, and societies; evaluating/justifying DSSs.
5. DSS Reference Studies. e.g. reference discipline tutorials for DSS researchers; emerging technologies relevant to DSS characteristics or DSS development; related studies on such topics as communication support systems, computer supported cooperative work, negotiation support systems, research support systems, task support systems.
6. DSS Experiences, Management, and Education. e.g. experiences in developing or operating DSSs; systems solutions to specific decision support needs; approaches to managing DSSs; DSS instruction/training approaches.
Discrete Applied Mathematics
The aim of Discrete Applied Mathematics is to bring together research papers in different areas of algorithmic and applicable discrete mathematics as well as applications of combinatorial mathematics to informatics and various areas of science and technology. Contributions presented to the Discrete Applied Mathematics journal can be research papers, short notes, surveys, and possibly research problems.
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making is a multidisciplinary journal with a broad base of content and style. It publishes original empirical reports, critical review papers, theoretical analyses and methodological contributions. The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making also features book, software and decision aiding technique reviews, abstracts of important articles published elsewhere and teaching suggestions. The objective of the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making is to present and stimulate behavioral research on decision making and to provide a forum for the evaluation of complementary, contrasting and conflicting perspectives. These perspectives include psychology, management science, sociology, political science and economics. Studies of behavioral decision making in naturalistic and applied settings are encouraged.
Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
The Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis provides an international forum for the presentation and discussion of all aspects of research, application and evaluation of multi-criteria decision analysis. The Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis publishes material from a variety of disciplines and all schools of thought: mathematical, theoretical, and behavioral aspects of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, case studies, applications and evaluation of techniques and methodologies. In addition to full-length papers, the Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis offers fast publication for short letters raising points for discussion. It also publishes book and software reviews.
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty is the natural outlet for the best research in decision analysis, economics and psychology dealing with choice under uncertainty. It features original manuscripts, both theoretical and empirical, dealing with the analysis of risk-bearing behavior and decision making under uncertainty. The topics covered in the Journal of Risk and Uncertainty include, but are not limited to, decision theory and the economics of uncertainty, psychological models of choice under uncertainty, risk and public policy, experimental investigations of behavior under uncertainty, and empirical studies of real world risk-taking behavior.
Theory and Decision
The field of decision has been investigated from many sides. However, research programs relevant to decision making in psychology, management science, economics, the theory of games, statistics, operations research, artificial intelligence, cognitive science and analytical philosophy have remained separate. Theory and Decision is devoted to all aspects of decision making belonging to such programs, but addresses also possible cross-fertilizations between these disciplines which would represent effective advances in knowledge. The purpose of the journal is to let the engineering of choice gradually emerge both for individual and for collective decision making. Formalized treatments will be favored, to the extent that they provide new insights into the issues raised and an appropriate modeling of the situation considered. Due to its growing importance, experimentation in decision making as well as its links to the cognitive sciences will be granted special attention by Theory and Decision.
Of particular interest are:
Preference and belief modeling,
Experimental decision making under risk or under uncertainty,
Decision analysis, multicriteria decision modeling,
Game theory, negotiation theory, collective decision making, social choice,
Rationality, cognitive processes and interactive decision making,
Methodology of the decision sciences.
Applications to various problems in management and organization science, economics and finance, computer-supported decision schemes, will be welcome as long as they bear on sufficiently general cases. Analysis of actual decision making processes are also relevant topics for the journal, whether pertaining to individual, collective or negotiatory approaches; to private decisions or public policies; to operations or to strategic choices.